Ab New York Fund Market Value

ALNVX Fund  USD 9.42  0.02  0.21%   
Ab New's market value is the price at which a share of Ab New trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ab New York investors about its performance. Ab New is trading at 9.42 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.21 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ab New York and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ab New over a given investment horizon. Check out Ab New Correlation, Ab New Volatility and Ab New Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ab New.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ab New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ab New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ab New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ab New 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab New's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab New.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ab New on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab New York or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab New over 30 days. Ab New is related to or competes with Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Minnesota, Ab Minnesota, Ab All, and Ab All. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities that pay interest that is exempt from fed... More

Ab New Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab New's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab New York upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ab New Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab New historical prices to predict the future Ab New's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.209.429.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.869.0810.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.199.419.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.329.379.43
Details

Ab New York Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider ALNVX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ab New York retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0455, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0455% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ab New, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ab New's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), standard deviation of 0.2248, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1368.87 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0102%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0938, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ab New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ab New is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

Ab New York has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab New time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab New York price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Ab New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Ab New York lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ab New mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab New's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ab New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab New mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab New mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab New mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ab New Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ab New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab New mutual fund have on its future price. Ab New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab New mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab New York.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ALNVX Mutual Fund

Ab New financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALNVX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALNVX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab New security.
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