Allianzgi International Small Cap Fund Market Value

ALOIX Fund  USD 31.28  0.22  0.71%   
Allianzgi International's market value is the price at which a share of Allianzgi International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Allianzgi International Small Cap investors about its performance. Allianzgi International is trading at 31.28 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.71 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 31.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Allianzgi International Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Allianzgi International over a given investment horizon. Check out Allianzgi International Correlation, Allianzgi International Volatility and Allianzgi International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Allianzgi International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Allianzgi International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allianzgi International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allianzgi International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Allianzgi International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allianzgi International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allianzgi International.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Allianzgi International on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allianzgi International Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allianzgi International over 30 days. Allianzgi International is related to or competes with Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Vertible, Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Focused, Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Convertible, and Allianzgi Convertible. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by normally investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in companies with sm... More

Allianzgi International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allianzgi International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allianzgi International Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Allianzgi International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allianzgi International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allianzgi International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allianzgi International historical prices to predict the future Allianzgi International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6531.2731.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.8331.4532.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.6131.2331.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.7231.0231.33
Details

Allianzgi International Backtested Returns

Allianzgi International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0525, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0525% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Allianzgi International Small Cap exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Allianzgi International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), standard deviation of 0.647, and Mean Deviation of 0.4789 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.42, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Allianzgi International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allianzgi International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

Allianzgi International Small Cap has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allianzgi International time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allianzgi International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Allianzgi International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Allianzgi International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Allianzgi International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allianzgi International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allianzgi International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allianzgi International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allianzgi International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allianzgi International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allianzgi International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Allianzgi International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allianzgi International mutual fund have on its future price. Allianzgi International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allianzgi International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allianzgi International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Allianzgi International Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Allianzgi Mutual Fund

Allianzgi International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allianzgi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allianzgi with respect to the benefits of owning Allianzgi International security.
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