Altri SGPS (Portugal) Market Value

ALTR Stock  EUR 5.03  0.04  0.79%   
Altri SGPS's market value is the price at which a share of Altri SGPS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Altri SGPS SA investors about its performance. Altri SGPS is selling for under 5.03 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.79% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Altri SGPS SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Altri SGPS over a given investment horizon. Check out Altri SGPS Correlation, Altri SGPS Volatility and Altri SGPS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Altri SGPS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Altri SGPS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altri SGPS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altri SGPS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Altri SGPS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Altri SGPS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Altri SGPS.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Altri SGPS on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Altri SGPS SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Altri SGPS over 30 days. Altri SGPS is related to or competes with Navigator, Sonae SGPS, NOS SGPS, Galp Energia, and REN Redes. More

Altri SGPS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Altri SGPS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Altri SGPS SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Altri SGPS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Altri SGPS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Altri SGPS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Altri SGPS historical prices to predict the future Altri SGPS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.915.036.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.114.235.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.975.086.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.945.115.28
Details

Altri SGPS SA Backtested Returns

Currently, Altri SGPS SA is somewhat reliable. Altri SGPS SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0724, which signifies that the company had a 0.0724% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Altri SGPS SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Altri SGPS's Mean Deviation of 0.8075, risk adjusted performance of 0.059, and Downside Deviation of 1.02 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0801%. Altri SGPS has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0496, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Altri SGPS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Altri SGPS is likely to outperform the market. Altri SGPS SA right now shows a risk of 1.11%. Please confirm Altri SGPS SA treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if Altri SGPS SA will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Altri SGPS SA has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Altri SGPS time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Altri SGPS SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Altri SGPS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Altri SGPS SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Altri SGPS stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Altri SGPS's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Altri SGPS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Altri SGPS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Altri SGPS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Altri SGPS stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Altri SGPS stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Altri SGPS stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Altri SGPS Lagged Returns

When evaluating Altri SGPS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Altri SGPS stock have on its future price. Altri SGPS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Altri SGPS autocorrelation shows the relationship between Altri SGPS stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Altri SGPS SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Altri Stock Analysis

When running Altri SGPS's price analysis, check to measure Altri SGPS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altri SGPS is operating at the current time. Most of Altri SGPS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altri SGPS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altri SGPS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altri SGPS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.