New York Municipal Fund Market Value

ANMCX Fund  USD 13.54  0.02  0.15%   
New York's market value is the price at which a share of New York trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of New York Municipal investors about its performance. New York is trading at 13.54 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.15 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.52.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of New York Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in New York over a given investment horizon. Check out New York Correlation, New York Volatility and New York Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on New York.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between New York's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New York is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New York's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

New York 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to New York's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of New York.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in New York on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding New York Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in New York over 180 days. New York is related to or competes with Ultramid-cap Profund, Applied Finance, Ab Discovery, Vanguard Small-cap, American Century, and Amg River. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a portfolio of municipal securities issued by the State of New... More

New York Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure New York's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess New York Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

New York Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for New York's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as New York's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use New York historical prices to predict the future New York's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New York's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3713.5213.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8212.9714.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3713.5213.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.4013.4613.52
Details

New York Municipal Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider New Mutual Fund to be very steady. New York Municipal has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0398, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0398% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for New York, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify New York's Downside Deviation of 0.2313, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 0.0854 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0059%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0294, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, New York's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding New York is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

New York Municipal has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between New York time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of New York Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current New York price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

New York Municipal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is New York mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting New York's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of New York returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that New York has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

New York regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If New York mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if New York mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in New York mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

New York Lagged Returns

When evaluating New York's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of New York mutual fund have on its future price. New York autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, New York autocorrelation shows the relationship between New York mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in New York Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in New Mutual Fund

New York financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New York security.
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