AOL (Poland) Market Value
| AOL Stock | 26.80 1.80 7.20% |
| Symbol | AOL |
AOL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AOL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AOL.
| 10/27/2025 |
| 01/25/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AOL on October 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AOL or generate 0.0% return on investment in AOL over 90 days.
AOL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AOL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AOL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0133 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.2 |
AOL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AOL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AOL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AOL historical prices to predict the future AOL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.033 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1607 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0098 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.19) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AOL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AOL January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.033 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.18) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.48 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.08 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2932.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.76 | |||
| Variance | 14.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0133 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1607 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0098 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.44) | |||
| Skewness | (0.49) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.63 |
AOL Backtested Returns
AOL appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. AOL secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14 % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for AOL, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of AOL's Semi Deviation of 3.48, risk adjusted performance of 0.033, and Mean Deviation of 2.51 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AOL holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.62, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AOL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AOL is likely to outperform the market. Please check AOL's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether AOL's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.06 |
Very weak reverse predictability
AOL has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AOL time series from 27th of October 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 25th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AOL price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current AOL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.0 |
Pair Trading with AOL
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AOL position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AOL will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against AOL Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AOL could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AOL when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AOL - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AOL to buy it.
The correlation of AOL is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AOL moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AOL moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AOL can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for AOL Stock Analysis
When running AOL's price analysis, check to measure AOL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AOL is operating at the current time. Most of AOL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AOL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AOL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AOL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.