Aozora Bank Ltd Stock Market Value

AOZOY Stock  USD 4.39  0.00  0.00%   
Aozora Bank's market value is the price at which a share of Aozora Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aozora Bank Ltd investors about its performance. Aozora Bank is trading at 4.39 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aozora Bank Ltd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aozora Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out Aozora Bank Correlation, Aozora Bank Volatility and Aozora Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aozora Bank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aozora Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aozora Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aozora Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aozora Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aozora Bank's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aozora Bank.
0.00
05/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aozora Bank on May 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aozora Bank Ltd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aozora Bank over 180 days. Aozora Bank is related to or competes with Kasikornbank Public, and PSB Holdings. Aozora Bank, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Japan and internati... More

Aozora Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aozora Bank's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aozora Bank Ltd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aozora Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aozora Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aozora Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aozora Bank historical prices to predict the future Aozora Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.244.395.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.184.335.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.234.385.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.394.394.39
Details

Aozora Bank Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aozora Pink Sheet to be somewhat reliable. Aozora Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0246, which signifies that the company had a 0.0246% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found eighteen technical indicators for Aozora Bank Ltd, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aozora Bank's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0815, mean deviation of 0.5336, and Standard Deviation of 1.49 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0283%. Aozora Bank has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0216, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aozora Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aozora Bank is likely to outperform the market. Aozora Bank right now shows a risk of 1.15%. Please confirm Aozora Bank market risk adjusted performance, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and day median price , to decide if Aozora Bank will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Aozora Bank Ltd has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aozora Bank time series from 26th of May 2024 to 24th of August 2024 and 24th of August 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aozora Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Aozora Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Aozora Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aozora Bank pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aozora Bank's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aozora Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aozora Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aozora Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aozora Bank pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aozora Bank pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aozora Bank pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aozora Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aozora Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aozora Bank pink sheet have on its future price. Aozora Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aozora Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aozora Bank pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aozora Bank Ltd.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Aozora Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Aozora Bank's price analysis, check to measure Aozora Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aozora Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Aozora Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aozora Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aozora Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aozora Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.