Aboitiz Power (Philippines) Market Value

AP Stock   37.25  0.25  0.67%   
Aboitiz Power's market value is the price at which a share of Aboitiz Power trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aboitiz Power Corp investors about its performance. Aboitiz Power is trading at 37.25 as of the 13th of December 2024, a 0.67% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 37.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aboitiz Power Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aboitiz Power over a given investment horizon. Check out Aboitiz Power Correlation, Aboitiz Power Volatility and Aboitiz Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aboitiz Power.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aboitiz Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aboitiz Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aboitiz Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aboitiz Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aboitiz Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aboitiz Power.
0.00
12/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aboitiz Power on December 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aboitiz Power Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aboitiz Power over 360 days. Aboitiz Power is related to or competes with GT Capital, Allhome Corp, Jollibee Foods, Altus Property, and Monde Nissin. More

Aboitiz Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aboitiz Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aboitiz Power Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aboitiz Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aboitiz Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aboitiz Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aboitiz Power historical prices to predict the future Aboitiz Power's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.9537.2538.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.3937.6938.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.7537.0538.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.6237.6738.73
Details

Aboitiz Power Corp Backtested Returns

At this point, Aboitiz Power is very steady. Aboitiz Power Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0246, which signifies that the company had a 0.0246% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aboitiz Power Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aboitiz Power's Downside Deviation of 1.46, risk adjusted performance of 0.0312, and Mean Deviation of 0.8527 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0319%. Aboitiz Power has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.015, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aboitiz Power's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aboitiz Power is expected to be smaller as well. Aboitiz Power Corp right now shows a risk of 1.3%. Please confirm Aboitiz Power Corp semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Aboitiz Power Corp will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.11  

Insignificant predictability

Aboitiz Power Corp has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aboitiz Power time series from 19th of December 2023 to 16th of June 2024 and 16th of June 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aboitiz Power Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Aboitiz Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.29

Aboitiz Power Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aboitiz Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aboitiz Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aboitiz Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aboitiz Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aboitiz Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aboitiz Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aboitiz Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aboitiz Power stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aboitiz Power Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aboitiz Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aboitiz Power stock have on its future price. Aboitiz Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aboitiz Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aboitiz Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aboitiz Power Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aboitiz Stock

Aboitiz Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aboitiz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aboitiz with respect to the benefits of owning Aboitiz Power security.