Artisan Focus Fund Market Value

APHTX Fund  USD 25.22  0.01  0.04%   
Artisan Focus' market value is the price at which a share of Artisan Focus trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Artisan Focus investors about its performance. Artisan Focus is trading at 25.22 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.04 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 25.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Artisan Focus and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Artisan Focus over a given investment horizon. Check out Artisan Focus Correlation, Artisan Focus Volatility and Artisan Focus Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Artisan Focus.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Artisan Focus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Artisan Focus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Artisan Focus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Artisan Focus 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Artisan Focus' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Artisan Focus.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Artisan Focus on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Artisan Focus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Artisan Focus over 720 days. Artisan Focus is related to or competes with Artisan Select, Artisan Developing, Artisan Small, Artisan Select, Artisan Global, Artisan Mid, and Artisan International. The funds investment approach is based on idea generation, a systematic framework for analyzing companies and proactive ... More

Artisan Focus Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Artisan Focus' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Artisan Focus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Artisan Focus Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Artisan Focus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Artisan Focus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Artisan Focus historical prices to predict the future Artisan Focus' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Artisan Focus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.2025.2226.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.7824.8025.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.2125.2326.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.2125.2225.23
Details

Artisan Focus Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Artisan Mutual Fund to be very steady. Artisan Focus secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Artisan Focus, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Artisan Focus' Downside Deviation of 1.21, mean deviation of 0.762, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1262 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.86, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Artisan Focus returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Artisan Focus is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.58  

Modest predictability

Artisan Focus has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Artisan Focus time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Artisan Focus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Artisan Focus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.58
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.53

Artisan Focus lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Artisan Focus mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Artisan Focus' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Artisan Focus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Artisan Focus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Artisan Focus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Artisan Focus mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Artisan Focus mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Artisan Focus mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Artisan Focus Lagged Returns

When evaluating Artisan Focus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Artisan Focus mutual fund have on its future price. Artisan Focus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Artisan Focus autocorrelation shows the relationship between Artisan Focus mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Artisan Focus.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Artisan Mutual Fund

Artisan Focus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Artisan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Artisan with respect to the benefits of owning Artisan Focus security.
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