Apex Mining (Philippines) Market Value

APX Stock   3.64  0.02  0.55%   
Apex Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Apex Mining trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Apex Mining Co investors about its performance. Apex Mining is trading at 3.64 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.55 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.64.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Apex Mining Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Apex Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Apex Mining Correlation, Apex Mining Volatility and Apex Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Apex Mining.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Apex Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apex Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apex Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Apex Mining 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Apex Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Apex Mining.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Apex Mining on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Apex Mining Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Apex Mining over 30 days. Apex Mining is related to or competes with Philex Mining, Atlas Consolidated, and . More

Apex Mining Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Apex Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Apex Mining Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Apex Mining Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Apex Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Apex Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Apex Mining historical prices to predict the future Apex Mining's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.703.645.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.012.954.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.563.505.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.333.904.47
Details

Apex Mining Backtested Returns

Apex Mining secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Apex Mining Co exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Apex Mining's risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 1.5 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.29, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Apex Mining's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Apex Mining is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Apex Mining has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm Apex Mining's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Apex Mining performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

Apex Mining Co has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Apex Mining time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Apex Mining price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Apex Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Apex Mining lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Apex Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Apex Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Apex Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Apex Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Apex Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Apex Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Apex Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Apex Mining stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Apex Mining Lagged Returns

When evaluating Apex Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Apex Mining stock have on its future price. Apex Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Apex Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Apex Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Apex Mining Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Apex Stock

Apex Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apex with respect to the benefits of owning Apex Mining security.