Aclara Resources Stock Market Value

ARAAF Stock  USD 0.30  0.01  3.23%   
Aclara Resources' market value is the price at which a share of Aclara Resources trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aclara Resources investors about its performance. Aclara Resources is trading at 0.3 as of the 24th of November 2024. This is a 3.23 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aclara Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aclara Resources over a given investment horizon. Check out Aclara Resources Correlation, Aclara Resources Volatility and Aclara Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aclara Resources.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aclara Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aclara Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aclara Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aclara Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aclara Resources' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aclara Resources.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aclara Resources on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aclara Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aclara Resources over 720 days. Aclara Resources is related to or competes with South Star, and Mundoro Capital. Aclara Resources Inc., a mining company, engages in the exploration of rare-earth metals in Chile More

Aclara Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aclara Resources' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aclara Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aclara Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aclara Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aclara Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aclara Resources historical prices to predict the future Aclara Resources' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.304.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.274.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.284.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.290.300.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aclara Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aclara Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aclara Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aclara Resources.

Aclara Resources Backtested Returns

Aclara Resources secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0684, which signifies that the company had a -0.0684% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aclara Resources exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aclara Resources' Mean Deviation of 2.77, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Standard Deviation of 4.07 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.35, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aclara Resources are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Aclara Resources is expected to outperform it. At this point, Aclara Resources has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to confirm Aclara Resources' jensen alpha, potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Aclara Resources performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Aclara Resources has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aclara Resources time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aclara Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Aclara Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Aclara Resources lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aclara Resources pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aclara Resources' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aclara Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aclara Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aclara Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aclara Resources pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aclara Resources pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aclara Resources pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aclara Resources Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aclara Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aclara Resources pink sheet have on its future price. Aclara Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aclara Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aclara Resources pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aclara Resources.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Aclara Pink Sheet

Aclara Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aclara Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aclara with respect to the benefits of owning Aclara Resources security.