Aristotle International Eq Fund Market Value

ARAFX Fund   10.73  0.05  0.47%   
Aristotle International's market value is the price at which a share of Aristotle International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aristotle International Eq investors about its performance. Aristotle International is trading at 10.73 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.47% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aristotle International Eq and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aristotle International over a given investment horizon. Check out Aristotle International Correlation, Aristotle International Volatility and Aristotle International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aristotle International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aristotle International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aristotle International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aristotle International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aristotle International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aristotle International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aristotle International.
0.00
11/30/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aristotle International on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aristotle International Eq or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aristotle International over 360 days. Aristotle International is related to or competes with Aristotle Funds, Aristotle Funds, Aristotle Funds, Aristotle Funds, Aristotle Value, and Aristotle/saul Global. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in publicly traded equity securities or depository receipts of co... More

Aristotle International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aristotle International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aristotle International Eq upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aristotle International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aristotle International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aristotle International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aristotle International historical prices to predict the future Aristotle International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9710.7311.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0510.8111.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8210.5811.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6710.7110.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aristotle International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aristotle International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aristotle International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aristotle International.

Aristotle International Backtested Returns

Aristotle International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0449, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0449% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aristotle International Eq exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aristotle International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), mean deviation of 0.5774, and Standard Deviation of 0.7768 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aristotle International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aristotle International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Aristotle International Eq has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aristotle International time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aristotle International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Aristotle International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Aristotle International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aristotle International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aristotle International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aristotle International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aristotle International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aristotle International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aristotle International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aristotle International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aristotle International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aristotle International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aristotle International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aristotle International mutual fund have on its future price. Aristotle International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aristotle International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aristotle International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aristotle International Eq.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aristotle Mutual Fund

Aristotle International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aristotle Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aristotle with respect to the benefits of owning Aristotle International security.
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