Argo Group International Preferred Stock Market Value

ARGO-PA Preferred Stock  USD 25.05  0.01  0.04%   
Argo Group's market value is the price at which a share of Argo Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Argo Group International investors about its performance. Argo Group is trading at 25.05 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 0.04 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 25.04.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Argo Group International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Argo Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Argo Group Correlation, Argo Group Volatility and Argo Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Argo Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Argo Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argo Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argo Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Argo Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Argo Group's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Argo Group.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Argo Group on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Argo Group International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Argo Group over 30 days. Argo Group is related to or competes with Newpark Resources, Hurco Companies, Dream Finders, Park Ohio, Sensient Technologies, Ecovyst, and CVR Partners. Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd. underwrites specialty insurance and reinsurance products in the property and cas... More

Argo Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Argo Group's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Argo Group International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Argo Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Argo Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Argo Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Argo Group historical prices to predict the future Argo Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7125.0525.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0924.4327.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5624.8925.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.0425.0525.06
Details

Argo Group International Backtested Returns

At this point, Argo Group is very steady. Argo Group International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0995, which signifies that the company had a 0.0995% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Argo Group International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Argo Group's mean deviation of 0.2345, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0619 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0333%. Argo Group has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0563, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Argo Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Argo Group is likely to outperform the market. Argo Group International right now shows a risk of 0.34%. Please confirm Argo Group International semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Argo Group International will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.58  

Good reverse predictability

Argo Group International has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Argo Group time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Argo Group International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Argo Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Argo Group International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Argo Group preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Argo Group's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Argo Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Argo Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Argo Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Argo Group preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Argo Group preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Argo Group preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Argo Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Argo Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Argo Group preferred stock have on its future price. Argo Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Argo Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Argo Group preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Argo Group International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Argo Preferred Stock

Argo Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Argo Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Argo with respect to the benefits of owning Argo Group security.