Ab Global Real Fund Market Value

ARSYX Fund  USD 15.46  0.03  0.19%   
Ab Global's market value is the price at which a share of Ab Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ab Global Real investors about its performance. Ab Global is trading at 15.46 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.19 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.49.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ab Global Real and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ab Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Ab Global Correlation, Ab Global Volatility and Ab Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ab Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ab Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ab Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ab Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ab Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab Global.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ab Global on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab Global Real or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab Global over 90 days. Ab Global is related to or competes with Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Minnesota, Ab Minnesota, Ab All, and Ab All. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in the equity securities of real esta... More

Ab Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab Global Real upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ab Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab Global historical prices to predict the future Ab Global's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7315.4616.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7115.4416.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.0715.8116.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.8515.2415.62
Details

Ab Global Real Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider ARSYX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ab Global Real retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0342, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0342% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ab Global, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ab Global's Standard Deviation of 0.7361, coefficient of variation of 3145.78, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.077 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.025%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ab Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ab Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Ab Global Real has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab Global time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab Global Real price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Ab Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Ab Global Real lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ab Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ab Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ab Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ab Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab Global mutual fund have on its future price. Ab Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab Global Real.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ARSYX Mutual Fund

Ab Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether ARSYX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ARSYX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Global security.
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