Transamerica Small Cap Fund Market Value
| ASGTX Fund | USD 6.83 0.01 0.15% |
| Symbol | Transamerica |
Transamerica Small 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transamerica Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transamerica Small.
| 11/03/2024 |
| 12/03/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Transamerica Small on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transamerica Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transamerica Small over 30 days. Transamerica Small is related to or competes with Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Capital, Transamerica, Transamerica Large, and Transamerica Large. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in stocks of small capitalization com... More
Transamerica Small Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transamerica Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transamerica Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0453 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.68 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.03 |
Transamerica Small Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transamerica Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transamerica Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transamerica Small historical prices to predict the future Transamerica Small's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1179 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1363 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0524 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5995 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transamerica Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Transamerica Small Cap Backtested Returns
Transamerica Small appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Transamerica Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the fund had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Transamerica Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Transamerica Small's Coefficient Of Variation of 668.44, semi deviation of 0.7531, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1179 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.28, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Transamerica Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Transamerica Small is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.74 |
Good predictability
Transamerica Small Cap has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transamerica Small time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transamerica Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Transamerica Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.21 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Transamerica Small Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Transamerica Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transamerica Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transamerica Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transamerica Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Transamerica Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transamerica Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transamerica Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transamerica Small mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Transamerica Small Lagged Returns
When evaluating Transamerica Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transamerica Small mutual fund have on its future price. Transamerica Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transamerica Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transamerica Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transamerica Small Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Transamerica Mutual Fund
Transamerica Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transamerica Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transamerica with respect to the benefits of owning Transamerica Small security.
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