ATMA Participaes (Brazil) Market Value

ATMP3 Stock  BRL 1.30  0.06  4.41%   
ATMA Participaes' market value is the price at which a share of ATMA Participaes trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ATMA Participaes SA investors about its performance. ATMA Participaes is selling for under 1.30 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 4.41% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.29.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ATMA Participaes SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ATMA Participaes over a given investment horizon. Check out ATMA Participaes Correlation, ATMA Participaes Volatility and ATMA Participaes Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ATMA Participaes.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ATMA Participaes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ATMA Participaes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATMA Participaes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ATMA Participaes 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ATMA Participaes' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ATMA Participaes.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ATMA Participaes on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ATMA Participaes SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in ATMA Participaes over 360 days. ATMA Participaes is related to or competes with Triunfo Participaes, Allpark Empreendimentos, Azevedo Travassos, Azevedo Travassos, and Lupatech. ATMA Participaes S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides contact center and trade marketing services More

ATMA Participaes Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ATMA Participaes' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ATMA Participaes SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ATMA Participaes Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ATMA Participaes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ATMA Participaes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ATMA Participaes historical prices to predict the future ATMA Participaes' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.304.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.164.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.284.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.281.341.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ATMA Participaes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ATMA Participaes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ATMA Participaes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ATMA Participaes.

ATMA Participaes Backtested Returns

ATMA Participaes secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0042, which signifies that the company had a -0.0042% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ATMA Participaes SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ATMA Participaes' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0019, coefficient of variation of (12,350), and Mean Deviation of 2.38 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ATMA Participaes are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ATMA Participaes is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ATMA Participaes has a negative expected return of -0.0146%. Please make sure to confirm ATMA Participaes' treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if ATMA Participaes performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.77  

Good predictability

ATMA Participaes SA has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ATMA Participaes time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ATMA Participaes price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current ATMA Participaes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.77
Spearman Rank Test0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

ATMA Participaes lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ATMA Participaes stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ATMA Participaes' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ATMA Participaes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ATMA Participaes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ATMA Participaes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ATMA Participaes stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ATMA Participaes stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ATMA Participaes stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ATMA Participaes Lagged Returns

When evaluating ATMA Participaes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ATMA Participaes stock have on its future price. ATMA Participaes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ATMA Participaes autocorrelation shows the relationship between ATMA Participaes stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ATMA Participaes SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for ATMA Stock Analysis

When running ATMA Participaes' price analysis, check to measure ATMA Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ATMA Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of ATMA Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ATMA Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ATMA Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ATMA Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.