Alpine Ultra Short Fund Market Value
| ATOAX Fund | USD 10.09 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Alpine |
Alpine Ultra 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alpine Ultra's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alpine Ultra.
| 12/05/2022 |
| 11/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alpine Ultra on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alpine Ultra Short or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alpine Ultra over 720 days. Alpine Ultra is related to or competes with Alpine Ultra, Alpine Dynamic, Alpine Realty, Alpine Global, and Alpine Global. The fund invests its assets in a combination of tax-exempt obligations and taxable debt obligations More
Alpine Ultra Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alpine Ultra's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alpine Ultra Short upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (1.78) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.3991 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.0992 |
Alpine Ultra Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alpine Ultra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alpine Ultra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alpine Ultra historical prices to predict the future Alpine Ultra's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0545 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0028 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4375 |
Alpine Ultra Short Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Alpine Mutual Fund to be very steady. Alpine Ultra Short secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the fund had a 0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found eighteen technical indicators for Alpine Ultra Short, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Alpine Ultra's Standard Deviation of 0.0656, mean deviation of 0.029, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0545 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0138%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0087, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alpine Ultra's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alpine Ultra is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.99 |
Perfect predictability
Alpine Ultra Short has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alpine Ultra time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alpine Ultra Short price movement. The serial correlation of 0.99 indicates that 99.0% of current Alpine Ultra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.99 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 1.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Alpine Ultra Short lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Alpine Ultra mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alpine Ultra's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alpine Ultra returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alpine Ultra has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Alpine Ultra regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alpine Ultra mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alpine Ultra mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alpine Ultra mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Alpine Ultra Lagged Returns
When evaluating Alpine Ultra's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alpine Ultra mutual fund have on its future price. Alpine Ultra autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alpine Ultra autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alpine Ultra mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alpine Ultra Short.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Alpine Mutual Fund
Alpine Ultra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpine Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpine with respect to the benefits of owning Alpine Ultra security.
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