Aritzia Stock Market Value

ATZAF Stock  USD 31.16  0.09  0.29%   
Aritzia's market value is the price at which a share of Aritzia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aritzia investors about its performance. Aritzia is trading at 31.16 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 0.29 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 31.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aritzia and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aritzia over a given investment horizon. Check out Aritzia Correlation, Aritzia Volatility and Aritzia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aritzia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aritzia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aritzia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aritzia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aritzia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aritzia's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aritzia.
0.00
02/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aritzia on February 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aritzia or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aritzia over 660 days. Aritzia is related to or competes with Fast Retailing, Industria, Shoe Carnival, Genesco, Burlington Stores, Buckle, and Carters. Aritzia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and sells apparels and accessories for women in North America More

Aritzia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aritzia's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aritzia upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aritzia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aritzia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aritzia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aritzia historical prices to predict the future Aritzia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3831.1635.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7626.5431.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5029.2834.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.0531.1331.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aritzia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aritzia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aritzia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aritzia.

Aritzia Backtested Returns

Aritzia secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.014, which signifies that the company had a -0.014% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aritzia exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aritzia's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0173, mean deviation of 2.44, and Downside Deviation of 4.19 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aritzia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aritzia is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Aritzia has a negative expected return of -0.0669%. Please make sure to confirm Aritzia's value at risk, kurtosis, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Aritzia performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.81  

Excellent reverse predictability

Aritzia has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aritzia time series from 4th of February 2023 to 31st of December 2023 and 31st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aritzia price movement. The serial correlation of -0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Aritzia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.81
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance17.75

Aritzia lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aritzia pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aritzia's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aritzia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aritzia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aritzia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aritzia pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aritzia pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aritzia pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aritzia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aritzia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aritzia pink sheet have on its future price. Aritzia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aritzia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aritzia pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aritzia.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Aritzia Pink Sheet

Aritzia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aritzia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aritzia with respect to the benefits of owning Aritzia security.