Autris Stock Market Value
| AUTR Stock | USD 0.68 0.04 6.25% |
| Symbol | Autris |
Autris 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Autris' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Autris.
| 06/09/2024 |
| 12/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Autris on June 9, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Autris or generate 0.0% return on investment in Autris over 570 days. Autris is related to or competes with Synthomer Plc, Itaconix Plc, Denarius Silver, and Copper Mountain. Autris, through its subsidiary, NitroHeat, LLC, assembles and supplies nitrogen generators, air filtration systems, comp... More
Autris Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Autris' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Autris upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 20.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0769 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 102.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 16.67 |
Autris Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Autris' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Autris' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Autris historical prices to predict the future Autris' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0674 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.37 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0571 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.84) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Autris' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Autris Backtested Returns
Autris appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Autris secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0595, which signifies that the company had a 0.0595 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Autris' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.93% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Autris' Downside Deviation of 20.74, risk adjusted performance of 0.0674, and Mean Deviation of 6.02 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Autris holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.49, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Autris are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Autris is expected to outperform it. Please check Autris' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and relative strength index , to make a quick decision on whether Autris' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.48 |
Average predictability
Autris has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Autris time series from 9th of June 2024 to 21st of March 2025 and 21st of March 2025 to 31st of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Autris price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Autris price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.53 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Autris lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Autris pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Autris' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Autris returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Autris has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Autris regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Autris pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Autris pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Autris pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Autris Lagged Returns
When evaluating Autris' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Autris pink sheet have on its future price. Autris autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Autris autocorrelation shows the relationship between Autris pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Autris.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Autris
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Autris position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Autris will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Autris could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Autris when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Autris - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Autris to buy it.
The correlation of Autris is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Autris moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Autris moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Autris can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Autris Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Autris' price analysis, check to measure Autris' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Autris is operating at the current time. Most of Autris' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Autris' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Autris' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Autris to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.