Ave Maria Bond Fund Market Value

AVEFX Fund  USD 12.13  0.07  0.57%   
Ave Maria's market value is the price at which a share of Ave Maria trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ave Maria Bond investors about its performance. Ave Maria is trading at 12.13 as of the 3rd of February 2025; that is 0.57 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ave Maria Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ave Maria over a given investment horizon. Check out Ave Maria Correlation, Ave Maria Volatility and Ave Maria Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ave Maria.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ave Maria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ave Maria is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ave Maria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ave Maria 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ave Maria's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ave Maria.
0.00
01/04/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/03/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ave Maria on January 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ave Maria Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ave Maria over 30 days. Ave Maria is related to or competes with Gabelli Global, Prudential Financial, and Davis Financial. The fund invests primarily in investment-grade debt securities of domestic issuers, including the U.S More

Ave Maria Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ave Maria's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ave Maria Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ave Maria Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ave Maria's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ave Maria's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ave Maria historical prices to predict the future Ave Maria's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8812.1312.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9012.1512.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7912.0412.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9912.1312.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ave Maria. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ave Maria's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ave Maria's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ave Maria Bond.

Ave Maria Bond Backtested Returns

Ave Maria Bond secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Ave Maria Bond exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ave Maria's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 0.1966 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ave Maria's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ave Maria is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

Ave Maria Bond has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ave Maria time series from 4th of January 2025 to 19th of January 2025 and 19th of January 2025 to 3rd of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ave Maria Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Ave Maria price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Ave Maria Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ave Maria mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ave Maria's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ave Maria returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ave Maria has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ave Maria regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ave Maria mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ave Maria mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ave Maria mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ave Maria Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ave Maria's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ave Maria mutual fund have on its future price. Ave Maria autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ave Maria autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ave Maria mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ave Maria Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Ave Mutual Fund

Ave Maria financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ave Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ave with respect to the benefits of owning Ave Maria security.
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