Ab International Growth Fund Market Value

AWPYX Fund  USD 20.66  0.23  1.13%   
Ab International's market value is the price at which a share of Ab International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ab International Growth investors about its performance. Ab International is trading at 20.66 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 1.13 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ab International Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ab International over a given investment horizon. Check out Ab International Correlation, Ab International Volatility and Ab International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ab International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ab International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ab International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ab International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ab International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab International.
0.00
05/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ab International on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab International Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab International over 180 days. Ab International is related to or competes with Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Minnesota, Ab Minnesota, Ab All, and Ab All. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of issuers located outside of the United Sta... More

Ab International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab International Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ab International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab International historical prices to predict the future Ab International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8320.6621.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9220.7521.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7620.5921.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.9220.4020.89
Details

Ab International Growth Backtested Returns

Ab International Growth retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0785, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0785% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Ab International exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ab International's Variance of 0.6644, information ratio of (0.24), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.58, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ab International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ab International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Ab International Growth has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab International time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab International Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Ab International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.27

Ab International Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ab International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ab International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ab International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ab International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab International mutual fund have on its future price. Ab International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab International Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in AWPYX Mutual Fund

Ab International financial ratios help investors to determine whether AWPYX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AWPYX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab International security.
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