Allianzgi Global Water Fund Market Value

AWTCX Fund  USD 20.38  0.16  0.78%   
Allianzgi Global's market value is the price at which a share of Allianzgi Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Allianzgi Global Water investors about its performance. Allianzgi Global is trading at 20.38 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.78 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Allianzgi Global Water and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Allianzgi Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Allianzgi Global Correlation, Allianzgi Global Volatility and Allianzgi Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Allianzgi Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Allianzgi Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allianzgi Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allianzgi Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Allianzgi Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allianzgi Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allianzgi Global.
0.00
02/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 28 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Allianzgi Global on February 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allianzgi Global Water or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allianzgi Global over 300 days. Allianzgi Global is related to or competes with Lord Abbett, Prudential High, Pace High, Dunham High, Pace High, and Prudential High. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets ... More

Allianzgi Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allianzgi Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allianzgi Global Water upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Allianzgi Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allianzgi Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allianzgi Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allianzgi Global historical prices to predict the future Allianzgi Global's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allianzgi Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6420.3821.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5420.2821.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7620.5021.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8320.2120.59
Details

Allianzgi Global Water Backtested Returns

Allianzgi Global Water secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0138, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0138% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Allianzgi Global Water exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Allianzgi Global's Mean Deviation of 0.5845, standard deviation of 0.733, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.63, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Allianzgi Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allianzgi Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Allianzgi Global Water has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allianzgi Global time series from 1st of February 2024 to 30th of June 2024 and 30th of June 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allianzgi Global Water price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Allianzgi Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

Allianzgi Global Water lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Allianzgi Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allianzgi Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allianzgi Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allianzgi Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allianzgi Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allianzgi Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allianzgi Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Allianzgi Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allianzgi Global mutual fund have on its future price. Allianzgi Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allianzgi Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allianzgi Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Allianzgi Global Water.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Allianzgi Mutual Fund

Allianzgi Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allianzgi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allianzgi with respect to the benefits of owning Allianzgi Global security.
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