AXA SA (Germany) Market Value
| AXAA Stock | EUR 33.20 0.80 2.35% |
| Symbol | AXA |
AXA SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AXA SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AXA SA.
| 12/29/2023 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AXA SA on December 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AXA SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in AXA SA over 330 days. AXA SA is related to or competes with Allianz SE, ALLIANZ SE, ASSGENERALI ADR, Principal Financial, Equitable Holdings, and IA FINANCIAL. AXA SA, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance and asset management services worldwide More
AXA SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AXA SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AXA SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.7 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.37 |
AXA SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AXA SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AXA SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AXA SA historical prices to predict the future AXA SA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.11) |
AXA SA Backtested Returns
At this point, AXA SA is very steady. AXA SA retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0063, which signifies that the company had a 0.0063% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for AXA SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AXA SA's market risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Variance of 1.69 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0082%. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AXA SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AXA SA is expected to be smaller as well. AXA SA now owns a risk of 1.29%. Please confirm AXA SA market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if AXA SA will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | 0.83 |
Very good predictability
AXA SA has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AXA SA time series from 29th of December 2023 to 11th of June 2024 and 11th of June 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AXA SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current AXA SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.83 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.79 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.06 |
AXA SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is AXA SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AXA SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AXA SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AXA SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
AXA SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AXA SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AXA SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AXA SA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
AXA SA Lagged Returns
When evaluating AXA SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AXA SA stock have on its future price. AXA SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AXA SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between AXA SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AXA SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in AXA Stock
AXA SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether AXA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AXA with respect to the benefits of owning AXA SA security.