SPASX 200 (Australia) Market Value

AXMEJD Index   2,834  6.75  0.24%   
SPASX 200's market value is the price at which a share of SPASX 200 trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SPASX 200 Media investors about its performance. SPASX 200 is listed at 2834.32 as of the 25th of November 2024, which is a 0.24% down since the beginning of the trading day. The index's open price was 2841.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SPASX 200 Media and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SPASX 200 over a given investment horizon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any index could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
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SPASX 200 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SPASX 200's index what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SPASX 200.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SPASX 200 on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SPASX 200 Media or generate 0.0% return on investment in SPASX 200 over 30 days.

SPASX 200 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SPASX 200's index current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SPASX 200 Media upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SPASX 200 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SPASX 200's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SPASX 200's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SPASX 200 historical prices to predict the future SPASX 200's volatility.

SPASX 200 Media Backtested Returns

SPASX 200 Media retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.15, which indicates the index had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for SPASX 200, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the index. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and SPASX 200 are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

SPASX 200 Media has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SPASX 200 time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SPASX 200 Media price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current SPASX 200 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.68
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1894.18

SPASX 200 Media lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SPASX 200 index's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SPASX 200's index expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SPASX 200 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SPASX 200 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the index is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SPASX 200 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SPASX 200 index is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SPASX 200 index is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SPASX 200 index over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SPASX 200 Lagged Returns

When evaluating SPASX 200's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SPASX 200 index have on its future price. SPASX 200 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SPASX 200 autocorrelation shows the relationship between SPASX 200 index current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SPASX 200 Media.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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