CITIC Telecom (Germany) Market Value
| B7O Stock | EUR 0.29 0.02 7.41% |
| Symbol | CITIC |
CITIC Telecom 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CITIC Telecom's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CITIC Telecom.
| 12/23/2022 |
| 12/12/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in CITIC Telecom on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CITIC Telecom International or generate 0.0% return on investment in CITIC Telecom over 720 days. CITIC Telecom is related to or competes with Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Norsk Hydro, Reliance Steel, RYOHIN UNSPADR1, Vanguard Funds, and Meli Hotels. CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides telecommunications services worldw... More
CITIC Telecom Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CITIC Telecom's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CITIC Telecom International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0325 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.69 |
CITIC Telecom Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CITIC Telecom's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CITIC Telecom's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CITIC Telecom historical prices to predict the future CITIC Telecom's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.059 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2268 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0204 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.56) |
CITIC Telecom Intern Backtested Returns
CITIC Telecom appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. CITIC Telecom Intern secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for CITIC Telecom International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of CITIC Telecom's risk adjusted performance of 0.059, and Mean Deviation of 1.93 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CITIC Telecom holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0617, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CITIC Telecom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CITIC Telecom is likely to outperform the market. Please check CITIC Telecom's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether CITIC Telecom's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.96 |
Excellent predictability
CITIC Telecom International has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CITIC Telecom time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CITIC Telecom Intern price movement. The serial correlation of 0.96 indicates that 96.0% of current CITIC Telecom price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.96 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.84 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
CITIC Telecom Intern lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is CITIC Telecom stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CITIC Telecom's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CITIC Telecom returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CITIC Telecom has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
CITIC Telecom regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CITIC Telecom stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CITIC Telecom stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CITIC Telecom stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
CITIC Telecom Lagged Returns
When evaluating CITIC Telecom's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CITIC Telecom stock have on its future price. CITIC Telecom autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CITIC Telecom autocorrelation shows the relationship between CITIC Telecom stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CITIC Telecom International.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in CITIC Stock
CITIC Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether CITIC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CITIC with respect to the benefits of owning CITIC Telecom security.