Socit BIC (France) Market Value

BB Stock  EUR 63.50  0.70  1.11%   
Socit BIC's market value is the price at which a share of Socit BIC trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Socit BIC SA investors about its performance. Socit BIC is trading at 63.50 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 1.11% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 62.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Socit BIC SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Socit BIC over a given investment horizon. Check out Socit BIC Correlation, Socit BIC Volatility and Socit BIC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Socit BIC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Socit BIC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Socit BIC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Socit BIC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Socit BIC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Socit BIC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Socit BIC.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Socit BIC on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Socit BIC SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Socit BIC over 30 days. Socit BIC is related to or competes with Remy Cointreau, Alten SA, Gaztransport Technigaz, Trigano SA, and Sartorius Stedim. Socit BIC SA manufactures and sells stationery, lighter, shaver, and other products in Europe, North and Latin America, ... More

Socit BIC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Socit BIC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Socit BIC SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Socit BIC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Socit BIC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Socit BIC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Socit BIC historical prices to predict the future Socit BIC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.6063.5065.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.4563.3565.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.0760.9662.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
62.6163.2763.93
Details

Socit BIC SA Backtested Returns

At this point, Socit BIC is very steady. Socit BIC SA owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0605, which indicates the firm had a 0.0605% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Socit BIC SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Socit BIC's Coefficient Of Variation of 1462.56, risk adjusted performance of 0.0584, and Semi Deviation of 0.835 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Socit BIC has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.085, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Socit BIC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Socit BIC is expected to be smaller as well. Socit BIC SA right now has a risk of 1.9%. Please validate Socit BIC mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Socit BIC will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.83  

Very good predictability

Socit BIC SA has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Socit BIC time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Socit BIC SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Socit BIC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.83
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.89

Socit BIC SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Socit BIC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Socit BIC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Socit BIC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Socit BIC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Socit BIC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Socit BIC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Socit BIC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Socit BIC stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Socit BIC Lagged Returns

When evaluating Socit BIC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Socit BIC stock have on its future price. Socit BIC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Socit BIC autocorrelation shows the relationship between Socit BIC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Socit BIC SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Socit Stock

Socit BIC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Socit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Socit with respect to the benefits of owning Socit BIC security.