Banco Bradesco (Argentina) Market Value

BBD Stock  ARS 2,680  20.00  0.75%   
Banco Bradesco's market value is the price at which a share of Banco Bradesco trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Banco Bradesco DRC investors about its performance. Banco Bradesco is trading at 2680.00 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.75 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2660.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Banco Bradesco DRC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Banco Bradesco over a given investment horizon. Check out Banco Bradesco Correlation, Banco Bradesco Volatility and Banco Bradesco Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Banco Bradesco.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Bradesco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Bradesco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Bradesco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Banco Bradesco 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Banco Bradesco's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Banco Bradesco.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Banco Bradesco on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Banco Bradesco DRC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Banco Bradesco over 30 days. Banco Bradesco is related to or competes with Transportadora, Agrometal SAI, and Harmony Gold. Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to individuals, corp... More

Banco Bradesco Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Banco Bradesco's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Banco Bradesco DRC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Banco Bradesco Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Banco Bradesco's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Banco Bradesco's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Banco Bradesco historical prices to predict the future Banco Bradesco's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,6782,6802,682
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4642,4652,948
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,7592,7602,762
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,5332,8813,229
Details

Banco Bradesco DRC Backtested Returns

Banco Bradesco DRC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.3, which signifies that the company had a -0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Banco Bradesco DRC exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Banco Bradesco's Standard Deviation of 1.65, mean deviation of 1.27, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.22) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Banco Bradesco's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Banco Bradesco is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Banco Bradesco DRC has a negative expected return of -0.48%. Please make sure to confirm Banco Bradesco's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Banco Bradesco DRC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Banco Bradesco DRC has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Banco Bradesco time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Banco Bradesco DRC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Banco Bradesco price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1285.25

Banco Bradesco DRC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Banco Bradesco stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Banco Bradesco's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Banco Bradesco returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Banco Bradesco has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Banco Bradesco regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Banco Bradesco stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Banco Bradesco stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Banco Bradesco stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Banco Bradesco Lagged Returns

When evaluating Banco Bradesco's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Banco Bradesco stock have on its future price. Banco Bradesco autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Banco Bradesco autocorrelation shows the relationship between Banco Bradesco stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Banco Bradesco DRC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Banco Stock

Banco Bradesco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banco with respect to the benefits of owning Banco Bradesco security.