BB Biotech (Germany) Market Value

BBZA Stock   40.05  0.05  0.12%   
BB Biotech's market value is the price at which a share of BB Biotech trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BB Biotech AG investors about its performance. BB Biotech is trading at 40.05 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 0.12 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 39.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BB Biotech AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BB Biotech over a given investment horizon. Check out BB Biotech Correlation, BB Biotech Volatility and BB Biotech Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BB Biotech.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between BB Biotech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BB Biotech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BB Biotech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BB Biotech 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BB Biotech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BB Biotech.
0.00
12/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in BB Biotech on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BB Biotech AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in BB Biotech over 720 days. BB Biotech is related to or competes with Aegean Airlines, JAPAN AIRLINES, CVW CLEANTECH, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES, Cleanaway Waste, JAPAN TOBACCO, and Scandinavian Tobacco. More

BB Biotech Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BB Biotech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BB Biotech AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

BB Biotech Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BB Biotech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BB Biotech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BB Biotech historical prices to predict the future BB Biotech's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.5540.0541.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.6640.1641.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.9039.4040.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.4039.8142.23
Details

BB Biotech AG Backtested Returns

BB Biotech AG retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.034, which signifies that the company had a -0.034% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BB Biotech exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BB Biotech's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), information ratio of (0.12), and Variance of 2.24 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.53, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, BB Biotech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BB Biotech is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, BB Biotech AG has a negative expected return of -0.051%. Please make sure to confirm BB Biotech's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if BB Biotech AG performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

BB Biotech AG has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BB Biotech time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BB Biotech AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current BB Biotech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.42

BB Biotech AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is BB Biotech stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BB Biotech's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BB Biotech returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BB Biotech has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

BB Biotech regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BB Biotech stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BB Biotech stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BB Biotech stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

BB Biotech Lagged Returns

When evaluating BB Biotech's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BB Biotech stock have on its future price. BB Biotech autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BB Biotech autocorrelation shows the relationship between BB Biotech stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BB Biotech AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in BBZA Stock

BB Biotech financial ratios help investors to determine whether BBZA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BBZA with respect to the benefits of owning BB Biotech security.