Grayscale Bitcoin Cash Stock Market Value

BCHG Stock  USD 6.79  0.88  11.47%   
Grayscale Bitcoin's market value is the price at which a share of Grayscale Bitcoin trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grayscale Bitcoin Cash investors about its performance. Grayscale Bitcoin is trading at 6.79 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 11.47 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grayscale Bitcoin Cash and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grayscale Bitcoin over a given investment horizon. Check out Grayscale Bitcoin Correlation, Grayscale Bitcoin Volatility and Grayscale Bitcoin Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grayscale Bitcoin.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grayscale Bitcoin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grayscale Bitcoin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grayscale Bitcoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grayscale Bitcoin 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grayscale Bitcoin's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grayscale Bitcoin.
0.00
02/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grayscale Bitcoin on February 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grayscale Bitcoin Cash or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grayscale Bitcoin over 660 days. Grayscale Bitcoin is related to or competes with Grayscale Litecoin Trust, Grayscale Digital, Bitwise 10, and Dmg Blockchain. More

Grayscale Bitcoin Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grayscale Bitcoin's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grayscale Bitcoin Cash upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grayscale Bitcoin Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grayscale Bitcoin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grayscale Bitcoin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grayscale Bitcoin historical prices to predict the future Grayscale Bitcoin's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.346.7914.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.305.9313.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.147.0014.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.617.748.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grayscale Bitcoin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grayscale Bitcoin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grayscale Bitcoin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grayscale Bitcoin Cash.

Grayscale Bitcoin Cash Backtested Returns

Grayscale Bitcoin appears to be risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Grayscale Bitcoin Cash holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0334, which attests that the entity had a 0.0334% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Grayscale Bitcoin Cash, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Grayscale Bitcoin's risk adjusted performance of 0.0532, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1033 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Grayscale Bitcoin holds a performance score of 2. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 4.77, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Grayscale Bitcoin will likely underperform. Please check Grayscale Bitcoin's semi deviation, sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Grayscale Bitcoin's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

Grayscale Bitcoin Cash has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grayscale Bitcoin time series from 4th of February 2023 to 31st of December 2023 and 31st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grayscale Bitcoin Cash price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Grayscale Bitcoin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance14.2

Grayscale Bitcoin Cash lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grayscale Bitcoin otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grayscale Bitcoin's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grayscale Bitcoin returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grayscale Bitcoin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grayscale Bitcoin regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grayscale Bitcoin otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grayscale Bitcoin otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grayscale Bitcoin otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grayscale Bitcoin Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grayscale Bitcoin's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grayscale Bitcoin otc stock have on its future price. Grayscale Bitcoin autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grayscale Bitcoin autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grayscale Bitcoin otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grayscale Bitcoin Cash.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Grayscale OTC Stock

Grayscale Bitcoin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grayscale OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grayscale with respect to the benefits of owning Grayscale Bitcoin security.