Banque Cantonale (Switzerland) Market Value

BCVN Stock  CHF 90.10  2.05  2.33%   
Banque Cantonale's market value is the price at which a share of Banque Cantonale trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Banque Cantonale investors about its performance. Banque Cantonale is selling for under 90.10 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 2.33 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 87.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Banque Cantonale and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Banque Cantonale over a given investment horizon. Check out Banque Cantonale Correlation, Banque Cantonale Volatility and Banque Cantonale Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Banque Cantonale.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Banque Cantonale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banque Cantonale is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banque Cantonale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Banque Cantonale 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Banque Cantonale's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Banque Cantonale.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Banque Cantonale on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Banque Cantonale or generate 0.0% return on investment in Banque Cantonale over 30 days. Banque Cantonale is related to or competes with Santhera Pharmaceuticals, Newron Pharmaceuticals, Basilea Pharmaceutica, Evolva Holding, and COSMO Pharmaceuticals. Banque Cantonale Vaudoise provides a range of financial services in Vaud Canton and rest of Switzerland, and internation... More

Banque Cantonale Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Banque Cantonale's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Banque Cantonale upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Banque Cantonale Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Banque Cantonale's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Banque Cantonale's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Banque Cantonale historical prices to predict the future Banque Cantonale's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.3690.1090.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.5189.2599.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.7290.4691.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.2187.7789.32
Details

Banque Cantonale Backtested Returns

Banque Cantonale secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0154, which signifies that the company had a -0.0154% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Banque Cantonale exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Banque Cantonale's Standard Deviation of 0.7396, mean deviation of 0.58, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Banque Cantonale's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Banque Cantonale is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Banque Cantonale has a negative expected return of -0.0124%. Please make sure to confirm Banque Cantonale's treynor ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Banque Cantonale performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Banque Cantonale has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Banque Cantonale time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Banque Cantonale price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Banque Cantonale price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.63

Banque Cantonale lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Banque Cantonale stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Banque Cantonale's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Banque Cantonale returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Banque Cantonale has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Banque Cantonale regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Banque Cantonale stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Banque Cantonale stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Banque Cantonale stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Banque Cantonale Lagged Returns

When evaluating Banque Cantonale's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Banque Cantonale stock have on its future price. Banque Cantonale autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Banque Cantonale autocorrelation shows the relationship between Banque Cantonale stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Banque Cantonale.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Banque Stock Analysis

When running Banque Cantonale's price analysis, check to measure Banque Cantonale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banque Cantonale is operating at the current time. Most of Banque Cantonale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banque Cantonale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banque Cantonale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banque Cantonale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.