Baron Discovery Fund Market Value

BDFIX Fund  USD 35.42  0.44  1.26%   
Baron Discovery's market value is the price at which a share of Baron Discovery trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Baron Discovery Fund investors about its performance. Baron Discovery is trading at 35.42 as of the 30th of January 2025; that is 1.26 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 34.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Baron Discovery Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Baron Discovery over a given investment horizon. Check out Baron Discovery Correlation, Baron Discovery Volatility and Baron Discovery Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Baron Discovery.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Baron Discovery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baron Discovery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baron Discovery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Baron Discovery 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Baron Discovery's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Baron Discovery.
0.00
03/12/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
01/30/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Baron Discovery on March 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Baron Discovery Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Baron Discovery over 690 days. Baron Discovery is related to or competes with Baron Partners, Baron Global, Baron Opportunity, Baron Fifth, and Baron Asset. The fund is a diversified fund that invests for the long term primarily in equity securities in the form of common stock... More

Baron Discovery Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Baron Discovery's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Baron Discovery Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Baron Discovery Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Baron Discovery's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Baron Discovery's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Baron Discovery historical prices to predict the future Baron Discovery's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.9735.2936.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.7637.6038.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.1835.4936.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.9333.7135.50
Details

Baron Discovery Backtested Returns

Baron Discovery appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Baron Discovery secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which signifies that the fund had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Baron Discovery Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of Baron Discovery's Downside Deviation of 1.22, mean deviation of 0.9776, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1431 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Baron Discovery's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Baron Discovery is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.47  

Average predictability

Baron Discovery Fund has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Baron Discovery time series from 12th of March 2023 to 20th of February 2024 and 20th of February 2024 to 30th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Baron Discovery price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Baron Discovery price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.64

Baron Discovery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Baron Discovery mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Baron Discovery's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Baron Discovery returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Baron Discovery has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Baron Discovery regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Baron Discovery mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Baron Discovery mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Baron Discovery mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Baron Discovery Lagged Returns

When evaluating Baron Discovery's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Baron Discovery mutual fund have on its future price. Baron Discovery autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Baron Discovery autocorrelation shows the relationship between Baron Discovery mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Baron Discovery Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Baron Mutual Fund

Baron Discovery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baron Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baron with respect to the benefits of owning Baron Discovery security.
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