Bridgestone (Germany) Market Value

BGTA Stock  EUR 16.00  0.10  0.62%   
Bridgestone's market value is the price at which a share of Bridgestone trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bridgestone investors about its performance. Bridgestone is trading at 16.00 as of the 12th of December 2024. This is a 0.62% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 16.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bridgestone and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bridgestone over a given investment horizon. Check out Bridgestone Correlation, Bridgestone Volatility and Bridgestone Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bridgestone.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bridgestone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bridgestone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bridgestone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bridgestone 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bridgestone's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bridgestone.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bridgestone on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bridgestone or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bridgestone over 30 days. Bridgestone is related to or competes with Highlight Communications, NEWELL RUBBERMAID, Consolidated Communications, Hyster Yale, and Yokohama Rubber. Bridgestone Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells tires and rubber products More

Bridgestone Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bridgestone's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bridgestone upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bridgestone Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bridgestone's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bridgestone's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bridgestone historical prices to predict the future Bridgestone's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9016.1017.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0316.2317.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7115.9117.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.6516.1816.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bridgestone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bridgestone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bridgestone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bridgestone.

Bridgestone Backtested Returns

Bridgestone secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0415, which signifies that the company had a -0.0415% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bridgestone exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bridgestone's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 1.2, and Mean Deviation of 0.9398 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Bridgestone's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bridgestone is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Bridgestone has a negative expected return of -0.0496%. Please make sure to confirm Bridgestone's standard deviation, information ratio, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the variance and jensen alpha , to decide if Bridgestone performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Bridgestone has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bridgestone time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bridgestone price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Bridgestone price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Bridgestone lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bridgestone stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bridgestone's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bridgestone returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bridgestone has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bridgestone regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bridgestone stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bridgestone stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bridgestone stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bridgestone Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bridgestone's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bridgestone stock have on its future price. Bridgestone autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bridgestone autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bridgestone stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bridgestone.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Bridgestone Stock

Bridgestone financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bridgestone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bridgestone with respect to the benefits of owning Bridgestone security.