Grupo Bimbo (Mexico) Market Value

BIMBOA Stock  MXN 60.93  0.07  0.11%   
Grupo Bimbo's market value is the price at which a share of Grupo Bimbo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grupo Bimbo SAB investors about its performance. Grupo Bimbo is trading at 60.93 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 0.11 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 61.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grupo Bimbo SAB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grupo Bimbo over a given investment horizon. Check out Grupo Bimbo Correlation, Grupo Bimbo Volatility and Grupo Bimbo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grupo Bimbo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Bimbo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Bimbo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Bimbo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grupo Bimbo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grupo Bimbo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grupo Bimbo.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grupo Bimbo on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grupo Bimbo SAB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grupo Bimbo over 720 days. Grupo Bimbo is related to or competes with Alfa SAB, Grupo Financiero, Fomento Econmico, Grupo Mxico, and . Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells various bakery products More

Grupo Bimbo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grupo Bimbo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grupo Bimbo SAB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grupo Bimbo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grupo Bimbo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grupo Bimbo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grupo Bimbo historical prices to predict the future Grupo Bimbo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.0560.9362.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.5151.3967.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.2259.1160.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.8960.9561.02
Details

Grupo Bimbo SAB Backtested Returns

Grupo Bimbo SAB holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.11, which attests that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Grupo Bimbo SAB exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grupo Bimbo's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (2.96), risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Standard Deviation of 1.86 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0713, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Grupo Bimbo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Grupo Bimbo is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Grupo Bimbo SAB has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to check out Grupo Bimbo's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if Grupo Bimbo SAB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

Grupo Bimbo SAB has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grupo Bimbo time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grupo Bimbo SAB price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Grupo Bimbo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance51.18

Grupo Bimbo SAB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grupo Bimbo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grupo Bimbo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grupo Bimbo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grupo Bimbo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grupo Bimbo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grupo Bimbo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grupo Bimbo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grupo Bimbo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grupo Bimbo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grupo Bimbo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grupo Bimbo stock have on its future price. Grupo Bimbo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grupo Bimbo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grupo Bimbo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grupo Bimbo SAB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Grupo Stock

Grupo Bimbo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Bimbo security.