Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund Fund Market Value

BIPSX Fund  USD 43.15  0.79  1.86%   
Biotechnology Ultrasector's market value is the price at which a share of Biotechnology Ultrasector trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund investors about its performance. Biotechnology Ultrasector is trading at 43.15 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 1.86 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 42.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Biotechnology Ultrasector over a given investment horizon. Check out Biotechnology Ultrasector Correlation, Biotechnology Ultrasector Volatility and Biotechnology Ultrasector Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Biotechnology Ultrasector.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Biotechnology Ultrasector's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Biotechnology Ultrasector is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Biotechnology Ultrasector's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Biotechnology Ultrasector 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Biotechnology Ultrasector's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Biotechnology Ultrasector.
0.00
08/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Biotechnology Ultrasector on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Biotechnology Ultrasector over 90 days. Biotechnology Ultrasector is related to or competes with Biotechnology Ultrasector, Internet Ultrasector, Health Care, Ultranasdaq 100, and Pharmaceuticals Ultrasector. The investment seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to one and one-half times the d... More

Biotechnology Ultrasector Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Biotechnology Ultrasector's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Biotechnology Ultrasector Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Biotechnology Ultrasector's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Biotechnology Ultrasector's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Biotechnology Ultrasector historical prices to predict the future Biotechnology Ultrasector's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biotechnology Ultrasector's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.0443.1545.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.3639.4747.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.9144.0246.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.8342.2446.64
Details

Biotechnology Ultrasector Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Biotechnology Mutual Fund to be very steady. Biotechnology Ultrasector secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0139, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0139% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Biotechnology Ultrasector's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), mean deviation of 1.52, and Standard Deviation of 2.11 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0286%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Biotechnology Ultrasector are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Biotechnology Ultrasector is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Biotechnology Ultrasector time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Biotechnology Ultrasector price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Biotechnology Ultrasector price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.91

Biotechnology Ultrasector lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Biotechnology Ultrasector mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Biotechnology Ultrasector's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Biotechnology Ultrasector returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Biotechnology Ultrasector has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Biotechnology Ultrasector regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Biotechnology Ultrasector mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Biotechnology Ultrasector mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Biotechnology Ultrasector mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Biotechnology Ultrasector Lagged Returns

When evaluating Biotechnology Ultrasector's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Biotechnology Ultrasector mutual fund have on its future price. Biotechnology Ultrasector autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Biotechnology Ultrasector autocorrelation shows the relationship between Biotechnology Ultrasector mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Biotechnology Ultrasector Profund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Biotechnology Mutual Fund

Biotechnology Ultrasector financial ratios help investors to determine whether Biotechnology Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Biotechnology with respect to the benefits of owning Biotechnology Ultrasector security.
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