Bradespar (Brazil) Market Value
| BRAP4 Preferred Stock | BRL 18.05 0.27 1.52% |
| Symbol | Bradespar |
Bradespar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bradespar's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bradespar.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Bradespar on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bradespar SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bradespar over 30 days. Bradespar is related to or competes with Metalurgica Gerdau, Companhia Siderrgica, Companhia Energtica, and Companhia Paranaense. Bradespar S.A., through its interest in VALE, operates as a mining company in the production of iron ore, iron ore pelle... More
Bradespar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bradespar's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bradespar SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.83 |
Bradespar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bradespar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bradespar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bradespar historical prices to predict the future Bradespar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0079 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.01) |
Bradespar SA Backtested Returns
Bradespar SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0185, which signifies that the company had a -0.0185% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Bradespar SA exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bradespar's risk adjusted performance of 0.0079, and Mean Deviation of 1.28 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Bradespar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bradespar is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Bradespar SA has a negative expected return of -0.0343%. Please make sure to confirm Bradespar's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Bradespar SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.01 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Bradespar SA has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bradespar time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bradespar SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Bradespar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
Bradespar SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Bradespar preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bradespar's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bradespar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bradespar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Bradespar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bradespar preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bradespar preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bradespar preferred stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Bradespar Lagged Returns
When evaluating Bradespar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bradespar preferred stock have on its future price. Bradespar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bradespar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bradespar preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bradespar SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Bradespar Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Bradespar's price analysis, check to measure Bradespar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bradespar is operating at the current time. Most of Bradespar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bradespar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bradespar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bradespar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.