Black Sea (Israel) Market Value

BSP Stock  ILS 542.90  54.80  9.17%   
Black Sea's market value is the price at which a share of Black Sea trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Black Sea Property investors about its performance. Black Sea is trading at 542.90 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 9.17 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 597.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Black Sea Property and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Black Sea over a given investment horizon. Check out Black Sea Correlation, Black Sea Volatility and Black Sea Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Black Sea.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Black Sea's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Black Sea is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Black Sea's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Black Sea 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Black Sea's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Black Sea.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Black Sea on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Black Sea Property or generate 0.0% return on investment in Black Sea over 30 days. Black Sea is related to or competes with One Software, Unicorn Technologies, Isras Investment, Azorim Investment, and YD More. BSP - Biological Signal Processing Ltd., a technological company, develops and markets solutions for the non-invasive di... More

Black Sea Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Black Sea's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Black Sea Property upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Black Sea Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Black Sea's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Black Sea's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Black Sea historical prices to predict the future Black Sea's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
538.97542.90546.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
491.84495.77597.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
512.74516.67520.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
537.56587.46637.36
Details

Black Sea Property Backtested Returns

Black Sea Property secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0523, which signifies that the company had a -0.0523% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Black Sea Property exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Black Sea's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 2.85 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0993, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Black Sea's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Black Sea is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Black Sea Property has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to confirm Black Sea's standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Black Sea Property performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Black Sea Property has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Black Sea time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Black Sea Property price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Black Sea price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance691.44

Black Sea Property lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Black Sea stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Black Sea's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Black Sea returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Black Sea has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Black Sea regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Black Sea stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Black Sea stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Black Sea stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Black Sea Lagged Returns

When evaluating Black Sea's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Black Sea stock have on its future price. Black Sea autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Black Sea autocorrelation shows the relationship between Black Sea stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Black Sea Property.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Black Stock

Black Sea financial ratios help investors to determine whether Black Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Black with respect to the benefits of owning Black Sea security.