Bucher Industries (Switzerland) Market Value

BUCN Stock  CHF 335.50  1.50  0.45%   
Bucher Industries' market value is the price at which a share of Bucher Industries trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bucher Industries AG investors about its performance. Bucher Industries is selling for under 335.50 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.45 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 331.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bucher Industries AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bucher Industries over a given investment horizon. Check out Bucher Industries Correlation, Bucher Industries Volatility and Bucher Industries Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bucher Industries.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bucher Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bucher Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bucher Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bucher Industries 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bucher Industries' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bucher Industries.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bucher Industries on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bucher Industries AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bucher Industries over 30 days. Bucher Industries is related to or competes with Emmi AG, EMS CHEMIE, Barry Callebaut, Sulzer AG, and VAT Group. Bucher Industries AG develops, manufactures, and sells machinery, vehicles, and systems for use in harvesting, food prod... More

Bucher Industries Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bucher Industries' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bucher Industries AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bucher Industries Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bucher Industries' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bucher Industries' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bucher Industries historical prices to predict the future Bucher Industries' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
334.31335.50336.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
301.95346.25347.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
331.16332.35333.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
331.55334.00336.45
Details

Bucher Industries Backtested Returns

Bucher Industries secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.07, which signifies that the company had a -0.07% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Bucher Industries AG exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bucher Industries' risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 0.904 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Bucher Industries' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bucher Industries is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Bucher Industries has a negative expected return of -0.0829%. Please make sure to confirm Bucher Industries' market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Bucher Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Bucher Industries AG has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bucher Industries time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bucher Industries price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Bucher Industries price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.77

Bucher Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bucher Industries stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bucher Industries' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bucher Industries returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bucher Industries has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bucher Industries regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bucher Industries stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bucher Industries stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bucher Industries stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bucher Industries Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bucher Industries' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bucher Industries stock have on its future price. Bucher Industries autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bucher Industries autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bucher Industries stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bucher Industries AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Bucher Stock Analysis

When running Bucher Industries' price analysis, check to measure Bucher Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bucher Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Bucher Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bucher Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bucher Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bucher Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.