Cigna (Brazil) Market Value

C1IC34 Stock  BRL 484.43  18.23  3.91%   
Cigna's market value is the price at which a share of Cigna trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cigna investors about its performance. Cigna is trading at 484.43 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 3.91% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 466.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cigna and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cigna over a given investment horizon. Check out Cigna Correlation, Cigna Volatility and Cigna Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cigna.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cigna's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cigna is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cigna's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cigna 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cigna's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cigna.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cigna on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cigna or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cigna over 30 days. Cigna is related to or competes with Qualicorp Consultoria, Fras Le, Western Digital, BTG Pactual, Telefonaktiebolaget, Cable One, and Randon SA. Cigna Corporation provides insurance and related products and services in the United States More

Cigna Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cigna's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cigna upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cigna Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cigna's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cigna's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cigna historical prices to predict the future Cigna's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
483.89484.43484.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
430.60431.14532.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
478.83479.36479.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
457.64467.72477.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cigna. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cigna's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cigna's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cigna.

Cigna Backtested Returns

At this point, Cigna is very steady. Cigna secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Cigna, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Cigna's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0451, mean deviation of 0.0573, and Standard Deviation of 0.2184 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0844%. Cigna has a performance score of 12 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0051, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cigna's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cigna is expected to be smaller as well. Cigna right now shows a risk of 0.54%. Please confirm Cigna coefficient of variation, information ratio, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and jensen alpha , to decide if Cigna will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

Cigna has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cigna time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cigna price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Cigna price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance32.82

Cigna lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cigna stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cigna's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cigna returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cigna has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cigna regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cigna stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cigna stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cigna stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cigna Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cigna's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cigna stock have on its future price. Cigna autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cigna autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cigna stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cigna.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Cigna Stock

Cigna financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cigna Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cigna with respect to the benefits of owning Cigna security.