Carasent ASA (Norway) Market Value

CARA Stock   21.10  0.60  2.93%   
Carasent ASA's market value is the price at which a share of Carasent ASA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Carasent ASA investors about its performance. Carasent ASA is selling for 21.10 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 2.93% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 20.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Carasent ASA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Carasent ASA over a given investment horizon. Check out Carasent ASA Correlation, Carasent ASA Volatility and Carasent ASA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Carasent ASA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Carasent ASA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carasent ASA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carasent ASA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Carasent ASA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Carasent ASA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Carasent ASA.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Carasent ASA on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Carasent ASA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Carasent ASA over 510 days. Carasent ASA is related to or competes with Bouvet, Elkem ASA, Integrated Wind, Vow ASA, North Energy, Arcticzymes Technologies, and XXL ASA. More

Carasent ASA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Carasent ASA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Carasent ASA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Carasent ASA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Carasent ASA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Carasent ASA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Carasent ASA historical prices to predict the future Carasent ASA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0321.1023.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7716.8423.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.3421.4123.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.6319.8221.02
Details

Carasent ASA Backtested Returns

Carasent ASA appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Carasent ASA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Carasent ASA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Carasent ASA's Mean Deviation of 1.58, downside deviation of 1.89, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1067 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Carasent ASA holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Carasent ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Carasent ASA is likely to outperform the market. Please check Carasent ASA's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Carasent ASA's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.57  

Good reverse predictability

Carasent ASA has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Carasent ASA time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Carasent ASA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Carasent ASA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.57
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.02

Carasent ASA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Carasent ASA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Carasent ASA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Carasent ASA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Carasent ASA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Carasent ASA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Carasent ASA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Carasent ASA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Carasent ASA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Carasent ASA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Carasent ASA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Carasent ASA stock have on its future price. Carasent ASA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Carasent ASA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Carasent ASA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Carasent ASA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Carasent Stock

Carasent ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carasent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carasent with respect to the benefits of owning Carasent ASA security.