China State Construction Stock Market Value

CCOHF Stock  USD 1.05  0.40  27.59%   
China State's market value is the price at which a share of China State trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China State Construction investors about its performance. China State is trading at 1.05 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 27.59 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China State Construction and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China State over a given investment horizon. Check out China State Correlation, China State Volatility and China State Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China State.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between China State's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China State is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China State's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China State 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China State's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China State.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China State on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China State Construction or generate 0.0% return on investment in China State over 30 days. China State is related to or competes with Meiwu Technology, National CineMedia, Getty Images, Senmiao Technology, NETGEAR, BCE, and Arrow Electronics. China State Construction International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the construction busi... More

China State Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China State's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China State Construction upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China State Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China State's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China State's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China State historical prices to predict the future China State's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.215.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.015.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.275.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.181.391.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China State. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China State's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China State's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China State Construction.

China State Construction Backtested Returns

China State Construction secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0764, which signifies that the company had a -0.0764% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. China State Construction exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm China State's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.027, mean deviation of 0.7488, and Standard Deviation of 3.0 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning China State are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, China State is likely to outperform the market. At this point, China State Construction has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to confirm China State's rate of daily change, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and information ratio , to decide if China State Construction performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

China State Construction has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China State time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China State Construction price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current China State price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

China State Construction lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China State pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China State's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China State returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China State has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China State regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China State pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China State pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China State pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China State Lagged Returns

When evaluating China State's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China State pink sheet have on its future price. China State autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China State autocorrelation shows the relationship between China State pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China State Construction.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China State financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China State security.