VanEck New (UK) Market Value

CEBG Etf   10.82  0.16  1.46%   
VanEck New's market value is the price at which a share of VanEck New trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VanEck New China investors about its performance. VanEck New is selling for under 10.82 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 1.46% down since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 10.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VanEck New China and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VanEck New over a given investment horizon. Check out VanEck New Correlation, VanEck New Volatility and VanEck New Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VanEck New.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VanEck New 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VanEck New's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VanEck New.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VanEck New on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VanEck New China or generate 0.0% return on investment in VanEck New over 540 days. VanEck New is related to or competes with Vanguard FTSE, Leverage Shares, Amundi Index, Amundi Index, Albion Venture, Leverage Shares, and Leverage Shares. VanEck New is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Etf on LSE exchange. More

VanEck New Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VanEck New's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VanEck New China upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VanEck New Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VanEck New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VanEck New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VanEck New historical prices to predict the future VanEck New's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6610.8213.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.8410.0013.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.629.7812.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6310.8211.00
Details

VanEck New China Backtested Returns

VanEck New appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. VanEck New China owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the etf had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for VanEck New China, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please review VanEck New's Coefficient Of Variation of 898.55, risk adjusted performance of 0.0928, and Semi Deviation of 2.66 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.23, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, VanEck New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VanEck New is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

VanEck New China has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VanEck New time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VanEck New China price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current VanEck New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.82

VanEck New China lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VanEck New etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VanEck New's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VanEck New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VanEck New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

VanEck New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VanEck New etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VanEck New etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VanEck New etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

VanEck New Lagged Returns

When evaluating VanEck New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VanEck New etf have on its future price. VanEck New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VanEck New autocorrelation shows the relationship between VanEck New etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VanEck New China.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in VanEck Etf

VanEck New financial ratios help investors to determine whether VanEck Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VanEck with respect to the benefits of owning VanEck New security.