Congressional Effect Fund Market Value

CEFIX Fund  USD 11.58  0.01  0.09%   
Congressional Effect's market value is the price at which a share of Congressional Effect trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Congressional Effect Fund investors about its performance. Congressional Effect is trading at 11.58 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.09 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.57.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Congressional Effect Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Congressional Effect over a given investment horizon. Check out Congressional Effect Correlation, Congressional Effect Volatility and Congressional Effect Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Congressional Effect.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Congressional Effect's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Congressional Effect is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Congressional Effect's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Congressional Effect 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Congressional Effect's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Congressional Effect.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Congressional Effect on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Congressional Effect Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Congressional Effect over 30 days. Congressional Effect is related to or competes with Meeder Funds, Ashmore Emerging, and Blackrock Exchange. Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities issued b... More

Congressional Effect Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Congressional Effect's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Congressional Effect Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Congressional Effect Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Congressional Effect's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Congressional Effect's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Congressional Effect historical prices to predict the future Congressional Effect's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9811.5812.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0611.6612.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9311.5412.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5411.5811.61
Details

Congressional Effect Backtested Returns

Congressional Effect secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0523, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0523% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Congressional Effect Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Congressional Effect's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), mean deviation of 0.4766, and Standard Deviation of 0.6232 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Congressional Effect's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Congressional Effect is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Congressional Effect Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Congressional Effect time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Congressional Effect price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Congressional Effect price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Congressional Effect lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Congressional Effect mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Congressional Effect's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Congressional Effect returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Congressional Effect has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Congressional Effect regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Congressional Effect mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Congressional Effect mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Congressional Effect mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Congressional Effect Lagged Returns

When evaluating Congressional Effect's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Congressional Effect mutual fund have on its future price. Congressional Effect autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Congressional Effect autocorrelation shows the relationship between Congressional Effect mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Congressional Effect Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Congressional Mutual Fund

Congressional Effect financial ratios help investors to determine whether Congressional Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Congressional with respect to the benefits of owning Congressional Effect security.
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