Groupe CRIT (France) Market Value

CEN Stock  EUR 65.00  1.40  2.20%   
Groupe CRIT's market value is the price at which a share of Groupe CRIT trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Groupe CRIT SA investors about its performance. Groupe CRIT is trading at 65.00 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 2.20% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 63.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Groupe CRIT SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Groupe CRIT over a given investment horizon. Check out Groupe CRIT Correlation, Groupe CRIT Volatility and Groupe CRIT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Groupe CRIT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupe CRIT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupe CRIT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupe CRIT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Groupe CRIT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Groupe CRIT's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Groupe CRIT.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Groupe CRIT on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Groupe CRIT SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Groupe CRIT over 30 days. Groupe CRIT is related to or competes with Synergie, Alten SA, Manitou BF, Linedata Services, and Aubay Socit. Groupe CRIT SA provides temporary employment and recruitment services to the small and medium-sized businesses and indus... More

Groupe CRIT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Groupe CRIT's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Groupe CRIT SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Groupe CRIT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Groupe CRIT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Groupe CRIT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Groupe CRIT historical prices to predict the future Groupe CRIT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.2565.0066.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.9455.6971.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.0466.8068.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.4766.8775.27
Details

Groupe CRIT SA Backtested Returns

At this point, Groupe CRIT is very steady. Groupe CRIT SA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0305, which attests that the entity had a 0.0305% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Groupe CRIT SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Groupe CRIT's Downside Deviation of 1.98, market risk adjusted performance of (0.27), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0393 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0535%. Groupe CRIT has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.24, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Groupe CRIT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Groupe CRIT is likely to outperform the market. Groupe CRIT SA right now retains a risk of 1.75%. Please check out Groupe CRIT total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Groupe CRIT will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

Groupe CRIT SA has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Groupe CRIT time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Groupe CRIT SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Groupe CRIT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.82

Groupe CRIT SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Groupe CRIT stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Groupe CRIT's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Groupe CRIT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Groupe CRIT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Groupe CRIT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Groupe CRIT stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Groupe CRIT stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Groupe CRIT stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Groupe CRIT Lagged Returns

When evaluating Groupe CRIT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Groupe CRIT stock have on its future price. Groupe CRIT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Groupe CRIT autocorrelation shows the relationship between Groupe CRIT stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Groupe CRIT SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Groupe Stock

Groupe CRIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Groupe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Groupe with respect to the benefits of owning Groupe CRIT security.