Creativeforge Games (Poland) Market Value
| CFG Stock | 2.24 0.06 2.61% |
| Symbol | Creativeforge |
Creativeforge Games 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Creativeforge Games' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Creativeforge Games.
| 10/27/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Creativeforge Games on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Creativeforge Games SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Creativeforge Games over 30 days. Creativeforge Games is related to or competes with Asseco Business, Movie Games, Igoria Trade, and Bank Millennium. More
Creativeforge Games Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Creativeforge Games' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Creativeforge Games SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.76 |
Creativeforge Games Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Creativeforge Games' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Creativeforge Games' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Creativeforge Games historical prices to predict the future Creativeforge Games' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.63) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.45) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 50.71 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Creativeforge Games' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Creativeforge Games Backtested Returns
Creativeforge Games secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Creativeforge Games SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Creativeforge Games' risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 3.39 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0125, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Creativeforge Games are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Creativeforge Games is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Creativeforge Games has a negative expected return of -0.65%. Please make sure to confirm Creativeforge Games' value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Creativeforge Games performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.1 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Creativeforge Games SA has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Creativeforge Games time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Creativeforge Games price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Creativeforge Games price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Creativeforge Games lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Creativeforge Games stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Creativeforge Games' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Creativeforge Games returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Creativeforge Games has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Creativeforge Games regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Creativeforge Games stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Creativeforge Games stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Creativeforge Games stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Creativeforge Games Lagged Returns
When evaluating Creativeforge Games' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Creativeforge Games stock have on its future price. Creativeforge Games autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Creativeforge Games autocorrelation shows the relationship between Creativeforge Games stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Creativeforge Games SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Creativeforge Games
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Creativeforge Games position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Creativeforge Games will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Creativeforge Stock
Moving against Creativeforge Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Creativeforge Games could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Creativeforge Games when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Creativeforge Games - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Creativeforge Games SA to buy it.
The correlation of Creativeforge Games is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Creativeforge Games moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Creativeforge Games moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Creativeforge Games can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Creativeforge Stock Analysis
When running Creativeforge Games' price analysis, check to measure Creativeforge Games' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Creativeforge Games is operating at the current time. Most of Creativeforge Games' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Creativeforge Games' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Creativeforge Games' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Creativeforge Games to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.