Centrais Eltricas (Brazil) Market Value

CLSC4 Preferred Stock  BRL 82.90  1.75  2.16%   
Centrais Eltricas' market value is the price at which a share of Centrais Eltricas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Centrais Eltricas de investors about its performance. Centrais Eltricas is selling for under 82.90 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 2.16% up since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 80.29.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Centrais Eltricas de and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Centrais Eltricas over a given investment horizon. Check out Centrais Eltricas Correlation, Centrais Eltricas Volatility and Centrais Eltricas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Centrais Eltricas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Centrais Eltricas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Centrais Eltricas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Centrais Eltricas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Centrais Eltricas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Centrais Eltricas' preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Centrais Eltricas.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Centrais Eltricas on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Centrais Eltricas de or generate 0.0% return on investment in Centrais Eltricas over 180 days. Centrais Eltricas is related to or competes with CTEEP Companhia, Companhia Energtica, and CPFL Energia. Centrais Eltricas de Santa Catarina S.A., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in... More

Centrais Eltricas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Centrais Eltricas' preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Centrais Eltricas de upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Centrais Eltricas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Centrais Eltricas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Centrais Eltricas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Centrais Eltricas historical prices to predict the future Centrais Eltricas' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.6882.9084.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.8882.1083.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.6480.8782.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
81.5282.6883.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Centrais Eltricas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Centrais Eltricas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Centrais Eltricas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Centrais Eltricas.

Centrais Eltricas Backtested Returns

Currently, Centrais Eltricas de is very steady. Centrais Eltricas secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Centrais Eltricas de, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Centrais Eltricas' Downside Deviation of 1.05, mean deviation of 0.9353, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0793 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Centrais Eltricas has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Centrais Eltricas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Centrais Eltricas is expected to be smaller as well. Centrais Eltricas right now shows a risk of 1.22%. Please confirm Centrais Eltricas total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Centrais Eltricas will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
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Insignificant predictability

Centrais Eltricas de has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Centrais Eltricas time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Centrais Eltricas price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Centrais Eltricas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.63

Centrais Eltricas lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Centrais Eltricas preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Centrais Eltricas' preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Centrais Eltricas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Centrais Eltricas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Centrais Eltricas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Centrais Eltricas preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Centrais Eltricas preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Centrais Eltricas preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Centrais Eltricas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Centrais Eltricas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Centrais Eltricas preferred stock have on its future price. Centrais Eltricas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Centrais Eltricas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Centrais Eltricas preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Centrais Eltricas de.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Centrais Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Centrais Eltricas' price analysis, check to measure Centrais Eltricas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centrais Eltricas is operating at the current time. Most of Centrais Eltricas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centrais Eltricas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centrais Eltricas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centrais Eltricas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.