Community Heritage Financial Stock Market Value

CMHF Stock  USD 21.99  0.01  0.05%   
Community Heritage's market value is the price at which a share of Community Heritage trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Community Heritage Financial investors about its performance. Community Heritage is trading at 21.99 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 0.05 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 21.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Community Heritage Financial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Community Heritage over a given investment horizon. Check out Community Heritage Correlation, Community Heritage Volatility and Community Heritage Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Community Heritage.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Community Heritage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Community Heritage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Community Heritage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Community Heritage 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Community Heritage's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Community Heritage.
0.00
10/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Community Heritage on October 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Community Heritage Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Community Heritage over 390 days. Community Heritage is related to or competes with Standard Bank, Bank Central, PSB Holdings, United Overseas, Turkiye Garanti, and Hang Seng. Community Heritage Financial, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides retail and commercial banking services to individ... More

Community Heritage Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Community Heritage's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Community Heritage Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Community Heritage Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Community Heritage's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Community Heritage's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Community Heritage historical prices to predict the future Community Heritage's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.1821.9922.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7621.5722.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.1721.9822.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3121.2422.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Community Heritage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Community Heritage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Community Heritage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Community Heritage.

Community Heritage Backtested Returns

At this point, Community Heritage is very steady. Community Heritage secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Community Heritage Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Community Heritage's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0713, mean deviation of 0.401, and Downside Deviation of 1.19 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0821%. Community Heritage has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Community Heritage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Community Heritage is expected to be smaller as well. Community Heritage right now shows a risk of 0.81%. Please confirm Community Heritage potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to decide if Community Heritage will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Community Heritage Financial has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Community Heritage time series from 29th of October 2023 to 11th of May 2024 and 11th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Community Heritage price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Community Heritage price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.32

Community Heritage lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Community Heritage pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Community Heritage's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Community Heritage returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Community Heritage has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Community Heritage regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Community Heritage pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Community Heritage pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Community Heritage pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Community Heritage Lagged Returns

When evaluating Community Heritage's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Community Heritage pink sheet have on its future price. Community Heritage autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Community Heritage autocorrelation shows the relationship between Community Heritage pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Community Heritage Financial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Community Pink Sheet

Community Heritage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Community Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Community with respect to the benefits of owning Community Heritage security.