New Perspective Fund Market Value

CNPFX Fund  USD 64.40  0.13  0.20%   
New Perspective's market value is the price at which a share of New Perspective trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of New Perspective Fund investors about its performance. New Perspective is trading at 64.40 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.2% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 64.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of New Perspective Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in New Perspective over a given investment horizon. Check out New Perspective Correlation, New Perspective Volatility and New Perspective Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on New Perspective.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between New Perspective's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New Perspective is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New Perspective's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

New Perspective 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to New Perspective's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of New Perspective.
0.00
01/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in New Perspective on January 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding New Perspective Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in New Perspective over 690 days. New Perspective is related to or competes with Allianzgi Technology, Dreyfus Technology, Towpath Technology, Technology Ultrasector, and Biotechnology Ultrasector. The fund seeks to take advantage of investment opportunities generated by changes in international trade patterns and ec... More

New Perspective Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure New Perspective's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess New Perspective Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

New Perspective Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for New Perspective's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as New Perspective's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use New Perspective historical prices to predict the future New Perspective's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.6864.4065.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.3064.0264.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as New Perspective. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against New Perspective's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, New Perspective's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in New Perspective.

New Perspective Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider New Mutual Fund to be very steady. New Perspective has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0927, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0927% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for New Perspective, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify New Perspective's Mean Deviation of 0.5672, risk adjusted performance of 0.0343, and Downside Deviation of 0.8656 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0664%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.72, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, New Perspective's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding New Perspective is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

New Perspective Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between New Perspective time series from 9th of January 2023 to 20th of December 2023 and 20th of December 2023 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of New Perspective price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current New Perspective price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.29

New Perspective lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is New Perspective mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting New Perspective's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of New Perspective returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that New Perspective has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

New Perspective regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If New Perspective mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if New Perspective mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in New Perspective mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

New Perspective Lagged Returns

When evaluating New Perspective's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of New Perspective mutual fund have on its future price. New Perspective autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, New Perspective autocorrelation shows the relationship between New Perspective mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in New Perspective Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in New Mutual Fund

New Perspective financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Perspective security.
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