Capital One Financial Preferred Stock Market Value

COF-PL Preferred Stock  USD 18.47  0.17  0.93%   
Capital One's market value is the price at which a share of Capital One trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Capital One Financial investors about its performance. Capital One is selling for 18.47 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 0.93% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 18.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Capital One Financial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Capital One over a given investment horizon. Check out Capital One Correlation, Capital One Volatility and Capital One Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Capital One.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital One 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital One's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital One.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capital One on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital One Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital One over 720 days. Capital One is related to or competes with Capital One, Capital One, Capital One, Capital One, and Wells Fargo. Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One Bank , National... More

Capital One Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital One's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital One Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capital One Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital One's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital One's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital One historical prices to predict the future Capital One's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1918.3019.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5517.6618.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8317.9419.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8618.5319.19
Details

Capital One Financial Backtested Returns

Capital One Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0036, which signifies that the company had a -0.0036% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Capital One Financial exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Capital One's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), mean deviation of 0.8616, and Standard Deviation of 1.1 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Capital One's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Capital One is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Capital One Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0041%. Please make sure to confirm Capital One's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Capital One Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.39  

Poor reverse predictability

Capital One Financial has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital One time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital One Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Capital One price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.39
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.44

Capital One Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Capital One preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Capital One's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Capital One returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Capital One has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Capital One regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Capital One preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Capital One preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Capital One preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Capital One Lagged Returns

When evaluating Capital One's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Capital One preferred stock have on its future price. Capital One autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Capital One autocorrelation shows the relationship between Capital One preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Capital One Financial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Capital Preferred Stock

Capital One financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital One security.