CPR Gomu (Thailand) Market Value

CPR Stock  THB 4.62  0.20  4.52%   
CPR Gomu's market value is the price at which a share of CPR Gomu trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CPR Gomu Industrial investors about its performance. CPR Gomu is selling for 4.62 as of the 24th of November 2024. This is a 4.52 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 4.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CPR Gomu Industrial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CPR Gomu over a given investment horizon. Check out CPR Gomu Correlation, CPR Gomu Volatility and CPR Gomu Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CPR Gomu.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CPR Gomu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CPR Gomu is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CPR Gomu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CPR Gomu 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CPR Gomu's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CPR Gomu.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CPR Gomu on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CPR Gomu Industrial or generate 0.0% return on investment in CPR Gomu over 30 days. CPR Gomu is related to or competes with Salee Colour, Business Online, and Communication System. CPR Gomu Industrial Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells natural and synthetic rub... More

CPR Gomu Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CPR Gomu's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CPR Gomu Industrial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CPR Gomu Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CPR Gomu's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CPR Gomu's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CPR Gomu historical prices to predict the future CPR Gomu's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.62466.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.91464.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.14.98130.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.364.554.74
Details

CPR Gomu Industrial Backtested Returns

CPR Gomu is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. CPR Gomu Industrial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate data for thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.31% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use CPR Gomu risk adjusted performance of 0.0917, and Mean Deviation of 1.52 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. CPR Gomu holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.63, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CPR Gomu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CPR Gomu is likely to outperform the market. Use CPR Gomu jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to analyze future returns on CPR Gomu.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

CPR Gomu Industrial has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CPR Gomu time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CPR Gomu Industrial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current CPR Gomu price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

CPR Gomu Industrial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CPR Gomu stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CPR Gomu's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CPR Gomu returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CPR Gomu has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CPR Gomu regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CPR Gomu stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CPR Gomu stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CPR Gomu stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CPR Gomu Lagged Returns

When evaluating CPR Gomu's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CPR Gomu stock have on its future price. CPR Gomu autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CPR Gomu autocorrelation shows the relationship between CPR Gomu stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CPR Gomu Industrial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in CPR Stock

CPR Gomu financial ratios help investors to determine whether CPR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CPR with respect to the benefits of owning CPR Gomu security.