Carrefour Sa Stock Market Value

CRERF Stock  USD 14.19  0.17  1.21%   
Carrefour's market value is the price at which a share of Carrefour trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Carrefour SA investors about its performance. Carrefour is trading at 14.19 as of the 21st of January 2025. This is a 1.21% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 14.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Carrefour SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Carrefour over a given investment horizon. Check out Carrefour Correlation, Carrefour Volatility and Carrefour Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Carrefour.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Carrefour's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carrefour is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carrefour's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Carrefour 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Carrefour's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Carrefour.
0.00
12/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Carrefour on December 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Carrefour SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Carrefour over 30 days. Carrefour is related to or competes with J Sainsbury, Carrefour, Kesko Oyj, J Sainsbury, and Tesco PLC. Carrefour SA operates stores in various formats and channels in France, Spain, Italy, Belgium, Poland, Romania, Brazil, ... More

Carrefour Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Carrefour's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Carrefour SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Carrefour Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Carrefour's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Carrefour's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Carrefour historical prices to predict the future Carrefour's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4514.0216.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8612.4315.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0413.6116.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5614.2915.01
Details

Carrefour SA Backtested Returns

Carrefour SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Carrefour SA exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Carrefour's Mean Deviation of 1.27, risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Standard Deviation of 2.45 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Carrefour's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Carrefour is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Carrefour SA has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to confirm Carrefour's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Carrefour SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.36  

Poor reverse predictability

Carrefour SA has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Carrefour time series from 22nd of December 2024 to 6th of January 2025 and 6th of January 2025 to 21st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Carrefour SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Carrefour price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.36
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Carrefour SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Carrefour pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Carrefour's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Carrefour returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Carrefour has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Carrefour regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Carrefour pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Carrefour pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Carrefour pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Carrefour Lagged Returns

When evaluating Carrefour's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Carrefour pink sheet have on its future price. Carrefour autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Carrefour autocorrelation shows the relationship between Carrefour pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Carrefour SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Carrefour Pink Sheet

Carrefour financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carrefour Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carrefour with respect to the benefits of owning Carrefour security.