CVS Health (Germany) Market Value

CVS Stock  EUR 55.06  0.74  1.36%   
CVS Health's market value is the price at which a share of CVS Health trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CVS Health investors about its performance. CVS Health is trading at 55.06 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 1.36% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 54.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CVS Health and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CVS Health over a given investment horizon. Check out CVS Health Correlation, CVS Health Volatility and CVS Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CVS Health.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CVS Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVS Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVS Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CVS Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CVS Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CVS Health.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CVS Health on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CVS Health or generate 0.0% return on investment in CVS Health over 30 days. CVS Health is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Microsoft, Microsoft, and Microsoft. More

CVS Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CVS Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CVS Health upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CVS Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CVS Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CVS Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CVS Health historical prices to predict the future CVS Health's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.3354.0756.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.2646.0059.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.6756.4059.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.5352.4855.43
Details

CVS Health Backtested Returns

At this point, CVS Health is very steady. CVS Health secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0447, which signifies that the company had a 0.0447% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for CVS Health, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm CVS Health's mean deviation of 1.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0415 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. CVS Health has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.58, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, CVS Health will likely underperform. CVS Health currently shows a risk of 2.74%. Please confirm CVS Health total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if CVS Health will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.35  

Below average predictability

CVS Health has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CVS Health time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CVS Health price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current CVS Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.62

CVS Health lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CVS Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CVS Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CVS Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CVS Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CVS Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CVS Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CVS Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CVS Health stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CVS Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating CVS Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CVS Health stock have on its future price. CVS Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CVS Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between CVS Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CVS Health.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CVS Stock

CVS Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether CVS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CVS with respect to the benefits of owning CVS Health security.